class 12 maths probability

A bag contains 5 red marbles and 3 black marbles. Three marbles are drawn one by one without replacement. What is the probability that atleast one of the three marbles drawn be black, if the first marble is red?

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📘 Probability NCERT,Exemp,Q.4,Page.271 SA

A bag contains 5 red marbles and 3 black marbles. Three marbles are drawn one by one without replacement. What is the probability that atleast one of the three marbles drawn be black, if the first marble is red?

Official Solution

VVidaara Team ✓ Verified solution NCERT & Exemplar

Let $R = \{ 5$ red marbles $\}$ and $B = \{ 3$ black marbles $\}$

For atleast one of the three marbles drawn be black,

if the first marble is red, then the following three conditions will be followed

(i) Second ball is black and third is red $\left( {{E_1}} \right)$.

(ii) Second ball is black and third is also black $\left( {{E_2}} \right)$.

(iii) Second ball is red and third is black $\left( {{E_3}} \right)$.

$\therefore$ $P\left( {{E_1}} \right) = P\left( {{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{B_1}/{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{R_2}/{R_1}{B_1}} \right) = \frac{5}{8} \cdot \frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{4}{6} = \frac{{60}}{{336}} = \frac{5}{{28}}$

$P\left( {{E_2}} \right) = P\left( {{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{B_1}/{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{B_2}/{R_1}{B_1}} \right) = \frac{5}{8} \cdot \frac{3}{7} \cdot \frac{2}{6} = \frac{{30}}{{336}} = \frac{5}{{56}}$

and $P\left( {{E_3}} \right) = P\left( {{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{R_2}/{R_1}} \right) \cdot P\left( {{B_1}/{R_1}{R_2}} \right) = \frac{5}{8} \cdot \frac{4}{7} \cdot \frac{3}{6} = \frac{{60}}{{336}} = \frac{5}{{28}}$

$\therefore$ $P(E) = P\left( {{E_1}} \right) + P\left( {{E_2}} \right) + P\left( {{E_3}} \right) = \frac{5}{{28}} + \frac{5}{{56}} + \frac{5}{{28}}$

$= \frac{{10 + 5 + 10}}{{56}} = \frac{{25}}{{56}}$

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