A coin is tossed three times, where
(i) $E$ : head on third toss, $F$ : heads on first two tosses
(ii) $E$ : at least two heads, $F$ : at most two heads
(iii) $E$ : at most two tails, $F$ : at least one tail
A coin is tossed three times, where
(i) $E$ : head on third toss, $F$ : heads on first two tosses
(ii) $E$ : at least two heads, $F$ : at most two heads
(iii) $E$ : at most two tails, $F$ : at least one tail
Official Solution
.: When a coin is tossed three times, the sample space $S$ contain 8 equally likely sample points.
$\Rightarrow S = \{ HHH,\;HHT,\;HTH,\;HTT,\;THH,\;THT,\;TTH,\;TTT\}$
(i) Let $E$ : ‘head on third toss’ and $F$ : ‘heads on first two tosses’
$\Rightarrow E = \{ HHH,\;HTH,\;THH,\;TTH\}$ and $F = \{ HHH,\;HHT\}$
$F = \{ HHH,\;HHT\} \Rightarrow E \cap F = \{ HHH\}$
$P(E) = \cfrac{4}{8} = \cfrac{1}{2},P(F) = \cfrac{2}{8} = \cfrac{1}{4}$
and $P(E \cap F) = \cfrac{1}{8}$
$\therefore$ $P(E|F) = \cfrac{{P(E \cap F)}}{{P(F)}} = \cfrac{{1/8}}{{2/8}} = \cfrac{1}{2}.$
(ii) Let $E$ : ‘atleast two heads’ and $F$ : ‘atmost two heads’ $\Rightarrow E = \{ HHH,\;HHT,\;HTH,\;THH\}$
and
$F = \{ TTT,\;THT,\;TTH,\;HTT,\;HHT,\;HTH,\;THH\}$
$\Rightarrow E \cap F = \{ HHT,\;HTH,\;THH\}$
Hence, $P(E) = \cfrac{4}{8} = \cfrac{1}{2},P(F) = \cfrac{7}{8}$
and $P(E \cap F) = \cfrac{3}{8}$
$P(E|F) = \cfrac{{P(E \cap F)}}{{P(F)}} = \cfrac{{3/8}}{{7/8}} = \cfrac{3}{7}$
(iii) Let $E$ : ‘atmost two tails’ and $F$ : ‘atleast one tail’.
$\Rightarrow E = \{ HHH,\;HHT,\;HTH,\;HTT,\;THH,\;THT,\;TTH\}$
$F = \{ HHT,\;HTH,\;HTT,\;THH,\;THT,\;TTH,\;TTT\}$
$\Rightarrow E \cap F = \{ HHT,\;HTH,\;HTT,\;THH,\;THT,\;TTH\}$
Hence, $P(E) = \cfrac{7}{8},P(F) = \cfrac{7}{8}$
and $P(E \cap F) = \cfrac{6}{8}$
$\therefore$ $P(E|F) = \cfrac{{P(E \cap F)}}{{P(F)}} = \cfrac{{6/8}}{{7/8}} = \cfrac{6}{7}$
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